Depression Probability Counter

Real-time forecast of how close we are to reenacting 1931—but with TikTok.

Current Probability

87.3%

Updated: April 4, 2025 @ 9:00 AM ET

📊 Market Snapshot

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📉 Weekly Change Log

2025-03-28: +4.2% — Tariffs announced on EU imports
2025-04-01: +2.1% — Canada and Mexico issue retaliatory tariffs
2025-04-04: +6.4% — Markets down 5%, tech stocks hit hard